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That's Better

Well that’s not a bad start - It's half time and I'm already out of all the games with a profit.

I had backed Man Utd @ 1.34 but within 5 mins of the game start they were trading at 1.26 so I thought why take a risk when if I can take a profit now. Of course Man u scored after 20 minutes but I' don't care - a win is a win and Aalborg did have a few chances in between that so you never know what could have happened.

Lyon took the lead against Munich and I greened that up at half time. They could go on to win but Munich are strong at home and there's a high chance of an equalizer in the second half (of course Norwich didn't have much of a problem when we beat the mighty Munich back in the day!)

Celctic did well and held Villareal to a draw at half time so I have again greened that one up which was my intention from the start.

I maybe used a bit too much of my bank today and may reduce the stakes a little. The return is actually higher than I expected so I may as well reduce the likelyhood of blowing up my bank in a loosing streak.

As for tomorrow these are the positions I will take.

Back Chelsea away to CFR @ 1.46
Lay Liverpool at home to PSV @ 1.40
Lay Shakhtar at home to Barcelona @ 5.00

And as I get to the end of writing this Munich have equalised and Villareal have just taken the lead….few...Man U are 2-0 up but never mind.


Games traded since last update: 3
Wins - Losses: 3 - 0
Profit/loss since last update: £7.49
Test Fund: £107.49

Re-Start

With 3 races left to go in the F1 season I need to kick the football off otherwise I'm going to miss the extra income over the winter months. I have some good data and with that I'm going to take a look at the Champions League games tomorrow night.

I have gone back to the drawing board as I could tell straight away the stab in the dark I was taking before was only going to result in a loss. I have re-set the fund and I'm ready to go again.

I'm not using any strategy for my football trading. I don't think they work (I'll post more about that another time) so I have looked at each game in isolation. There are 3 games I like the look of and I will take the following positions before they start:

Back Man Utd away to AaB
Lay Villarrel at home to Celtic
Back Lyon away at Bayern Munich

I have exit strategies for all three games and based on the data I have I roughly know what my exit losses will be if I need to take them. It's important to note these are not tips! I have taken these selections as I'm happy the risk/reward ratio is favourable for my 'method' of trading and not necessarily because I think that team will win. If I lose on all three games it won't be a disaster - I have put effort into making a 'method' which in the long term hopefully will give me a return.

I have also taken the choice of showing a profit/loss on each post seeing as this is more of an experiment. I hope this will give a better idea of how things are developing rather than me saying I had a good/bad week. This will simply be the return I have made since the last update. Remember as I'm starting with a bank of £100 test fund to see if this works the returns will be small.

I will also post the number of games traded and the ratio of wins to losses. If I'm doing this right I want to be profiting even if I have more losses than wins.

Games traded since last update: 0
Wins - Losses: 0 - 0
Profit/loss since last update: £0.00
Test Fund: £100


About this site

Follow my progress as I try to make a consistent profit from football betting/trading. When I started this blog I had no plan or idea as to how to make a profit from football so this will be an exploration of the football markets – maybe it will work, maybe it won’t – but there’s only one way to find out and that’s to give it a try. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions(mail@flutterfly.co.uk).






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