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A quick post on the happenings since my update this morning. Lewis did drop a bit lower than 2.5 and then picked up again and settled at 2.58. Looking at the graph some lucky fella got matched on a lay of 1.80 in a ‘blip’ before the market rose up.
The latest weather updates show there is now a possibility of rain for qualy. It’s a small chance of rain but the cloud cover will keep the track cool-ish and will not be good news for a few teams.
Of the BMW’s it’s Kubica who looks to be struggling and I’d rather take him on than Heidfeld for not making the top 10. There’s another practice session to go and weather/track conditions could be completely different for everyone (even if it’s not raining sometimes the track is a whole new animal on the Saturday) so these positions will not be entered yet.
Bourdais for a points finish is looking good and also Mark Webber. Red Bull have been shown up by their sister team lately however Webber drove a great race last year and would have been on the podium if it wasn’t for Vettel taking him out – he’s at mid 20’s to get a podium this year. A long shot at the moment but if the rain comes it could be worth a look.
If Lewis is equally quick in P3 as he has been today I can’t see Ferrari catching him. Massa needs to win but getting pole may need the Ferrari to go light which won’t do any good for his race. Maybe they can try and use Kimi on a light fuel load although getting him to oblige may be hard work. Keep an eye on Kimi because he is now trading at 8.6 whilst most bookies have him at 5’s.
In the early part of the season BET365 must have got stung badly with their ‘who will top P3’ offers. Nowadays they have runners which used to be 50+ priced in the 10’s so all the value has gone. The offers do go in play and sometimes you can still get a bargain – for some reason I fancy Webber to top this session so hopefully his in-play odds will be significantly higher than the 13 offered now.
The latest weather updates show there is now a possibility of rain for qualy. It’s a small chance of rain but the cloud cover will keep the track cool-ish and will not be good news for a few teams.
Of the BMW’s it’s Kubica who looks to be struggling and I’d rather take him on than Heidfeld for not making the top 10. There’s another practice session to go and weather/track conditions could be completely different for everyone (even if it’s not raining sometimes the track is a whole new animal on the Saturday) so these positions will not be entered yet.
Bourdais for a points finish is looking good and also Mark Webber. Red Bull have been shown up by their sister team lately however Webber drove a great race last year and would have been on the podium if it wasn’t for Vettel taking him out – he’s at mid 20’s to get a podium this year. A long shot at the moment but if the rain comes it could be worth a look.
If Lewis is equally quick in P3 as he has been today I can’t see Ferrari catching him. Massa needs to win but getting pole may need the Ferrari to go light which won’t do any good for his race. Maybe they can try and use Kimi on a light fuel load although getting him to oblige may be hard work. Keep an eye on Kimi because he is now trading at 8.6 whilst most bookies have him at 5’s.
In the early part of the season BET365 must have got stung badly with their ‘who will top P3’ offers. Nowadays they have runners which used to be 50+ priced in the 10’s so all the value has gone. The offers do go in play and sometimes you can still get a bargain – for some reason I fancy Webber to top this session so hopefully his in-play odds will be significantly higher than the 13 offered now.
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