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Undecided

Just a quick post to say I have taken a green before qualy. I have no real strong feeling that either Heikki or Massa will get pole after seeing Q3 so the best thing to do for the moment is hold my position on a green book.

As we go into qualy the odds tend to be far more volatile and if I see anything good I may make a change. If it looks like Hamilton will get pole I will just leave it as things are. His odds have now come down to 1.8 and this time they are probably justified to be that low – but there’s no way they should have been that a week before the event. If they get much lower (say 1.5 during Q1/2) I will take a lay position on him. There’s a big threat of some low fuel attempts which would make that price worth laying. I’ve still not given up on Massa and if there’s a good price on him during Q1/2 I will take another back position.

As for the practice session I made a small loss on P1 & P2. I didn’t do the usual midfield dutch on P3 because of late the top teams have increased their pace so much, even a low fuel run from the midfield can’t beat them. It’s funny because now bet365 have tightened up on these runners they’re offering higher odds on the top drivers. The tables have turned and now you can get 4’s and 6’s on Lewis, Massa Kimi etc. Unfortunately I went for Massa who managed to get 2nd so another loss made there. The total loss on practice is almost equal to my current green on qualy so things aren’t too bad.

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I have managed to make consistent profits through a mix of traditional betting, trading on the exchanges and somewhat of an obsession for Formula One over the last 3 seasons. Will it continue in 2008 or have I just been lucky! Follow my blog as I look at the possibilities in each race and try to pick out the value bets. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions (mail@flutterfly.co.uk).





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