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Yesterday didn’t quite go to plan with Alonso and Glock both failing to reach Q3. That left me with only Kubica as one of my backed runners. I still had no liability at this point and I thought Hamilton looked good so took some of his odds in the high 3’s. It wasn’t to be but because of my Kimi trade earlier in the week the loss is small.
My thoughts yesterday were Massa may have trouble getting off the grid and into the first corner given the position of the pole position slot. I also fancied Kubica but as he would be starting on the dirty side he would be handicapped as well. However the grid slots have now been swapped around and now Massa will have the advantage (as he should on pole).
Ferrari should have a good race pace and with Lewis starting on the dirty side he will have to drive a great race to win this. His tyres were also a bit worn after qualy so this combined with his demeanour in the press conference lead me to believe he hasn’t got as much fuel on board as he would like. This along with his dirty grid slot lead me to believe 2.8 is too short for him to win the race and I have taken a lay position. Even if he somehow manages to take the lead I won’t trade out straight away – it depends on when he pits as to how quick he really is and also the safety car may change things.
The outside bet for me is Kubica. I always take a small back of one driver with long odds who I think will qualy near the top end. I got 38 on Kubica earlier in the week and starting 3rd I’m hoping he may be able to get ahead of Hamilton on the first lap or at least stick with him until the pit stops.
I’m still concerned a safety car will shuffle the pack at some point so I had placed £2 orders on a number of midfield runners @ 1000. So far only Nakajima has been matched but as we go in-play I will look to find others in good positions (mainly 1 stoppers) who may be able to take advantage of any such situation
A good punt pointed out by F1Punter is Heidfeld on the fastest lap spread. Read about it here.
I’ve just watched the start of the GP2 race and it’s easy for people to get through the first corner but there’s then a concertina effect at turn 2 which causes problems for the midfield pack. Interestingly when one of the drivers hit the wall the car was craned away under waved yellows and not safety car conditions.
My thoughts yesterday were Massa may have trouble getting off the grid and into the first corner given the position of the pole position slot. I also fancied Kubica but as he would be starting on the dirty side he would be handicapped as well. However the grid slots have now been swapped around and now Massa will have the advantage (as he should on pole).
Ferrari should have a good race pace and with Lewis starting on the dirty side he will have to drive a great race to win this. His tyres were also a bit worn after qualy so this combined with his demeanour in the press conference lead me to believe he hasn’t got as much fuel on board as he would like. This along with his dirty grid slot lead me to believe 2.8 is too short for him to win the race and I have taken a lay position. Even if he somehow manages to take the lead I won’t trade out straight away – it depends on when he pits as to how quick he really is and also the safety car may change things.
The outside bet for me is Kubica. I always take a small back of one driver with long odds who I think will qualy near the top end. I got 38 on Kubica earlier in the week and starting 3rd I’m hoping he may be able to get ahead of Hamilton on the first lap or at least stick with him until the pit stops.
I’m still concerned a safety car will shuffle the pack at some point so I had placed £2 orders on a number of midfield runners @ 1000. So far only Nakajima has been matched but as we go in-play I will look to find others in good positions (mainly 1 stoppers) who may be able to take advantage of any such situation
A good punt pointed out by F1Punter is Heidfeld on the fastest lap spread. Read about it here.
I’ve just watched the start of the GP2 race and it’s easy for people to get through the first corner but there’s then a concertina effect at turn 2 which causes problems for the midfield pack. Interestingly when one of the drivers hit the wall the car was craned away under waved yellows and not safety car conditions.
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