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On a green track I thought McLaren would have a slight advantage and in P1 Lewis should have topped the times if it wasn't for a spin on his last lap. I found it strange BET365 had him at 4/1 to top the first session so I placed an outright bet. I lost but I'm happy because 4/1 was too long and had he not made that mistake I would have been proven right.
I have been meaning to do a post for while about the evolution of a race weekend. I will try and do it next week some time but it all tie’s in with my decision to get on Kimi this morning before practice and not wait to see what happened. In simple terms his comments meant he would be quicker in practice so if I was going to back him I had to do it before practice. He topped P2 and looks to be on it this weekend. I missed the 5.1 for Kimi to win the race I mentioned earlier in the week but there's a long way to go between now and the finish flag so I'm still holding steady on the race winner market.
I managed to get backs of Alonso and Trulli (pole position) before practice, however Glock has once again impressed and I swapped the Trulli liability over to Glock. Looking at the time sheets at the end of the day you wouldn’t think Kubica is looking like a challenger but he did show good pace at times – whether it’s enough to get pole I don’t know but his odds are long enough to include him in my book.
So I know have backs on 4 runners for pole, all of which are heading in the right direction in terms of their odds are currently shorter than what I backed them for, but not yet reaching their full potential for it to be worth taking a green at this stage.
Heidfeld seems to be struggling again and could be worth a lay in some markets if you can get matched. The liquidity is poor this weekend – maybe it’s the new track, maybe it’s the holiday season ….or maybe the credit crunch! It will be very tight in the midfield and the ‘to reach top Q3’ market would give some great opportunities if there was any money flying about.
Tomorrows first session will be interesting. I won't be dutching any midfield runners this time out and will probably not have any bet on it at all as anyone could top the session. Keep an eye out for Renault driving slowly in the first half of the session in order to scrub tyres for the race. They think they have found a way to make the tyres work better and will be interesting to see if anyone else tries it.
I also expect some penalties to be handed out for blocking drivers on hot laps.
I have been meaning to do a post for while about the evolution of a race weekend. I will try and do it next week some time but it all tie’s in with my decision to get on Kimi this morning before practice and not wait to see what happened. In simple terms his comments meant he would be quicker in practice so if I was going to back him I had to do it before practice. He topped P2 and looks to be on it this weekend. I missed the 5.1 for Kimi to win the race I mentioned earlier in the week but there's a long way to go between now and the finish flag so I'm still holding steady on the race winner market.
I managed to get backs of Alonso and Trulli (pole position) before practice, however Glock has once again impressed and I swapped the Trulli liability over to Glock. Looking at the time sheets at the end of the day you wouldn’t think Kubica is looking like a challenger but he did show good pace at times – whether it’s enough to get pole I don’t know but his odds are long enough to include him in my book.
So I know have backs on 4 runners for pole, all of which are heading in the right direction in terms of their odds are currently shorter than what I backed them for, but not yet reaching their full potential for it to be worth taking a green at this stage.
Heidfeld seems to be struggling again and could be worth a lay in some markets if you can get matched. The liquidity is poor this weekend – maybe it’s the new track, maybe it’s the holiday season ….or maybe the credit crunch! It will be very tight in the midfield and the ‘to reach top Q3’ market would give some great opportunities if there was any money flying about.
Tomorrows first session will be interesting. I won't be dutching any midfield runners this time out and will probably not have any bet on it at all as anyone could top the session. Keep an eye out for Renault driving slowly in the first half of the session in order to scrub tyres for the race. They think they have found a way to make the tyres work better and will be interesting to see if anyone else tries it.
I also expect some penalties to be handed out for blocking drivers on hot laps.
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