Sometimes you have to accept you were wrong and move on (something Lewis should do) because clinging to a belief which the facts in front of you are saying otherwise is not a good idea. I was wrong about how things would pan out this weekend but it’s a good job I realised it early, otherwise I would be steering at a loss and not a nice green. I would have been tied into outright bets and lost the lot so trading comes up trumps again.
In my post earlier today I mentioned I was trading Heikki’s odds and in the end decided to leave a small back bet open @ 13.5. He was showing great pace all through qualy and I was still tempted to back him at the mid 4’s on offer before Q3. At this stage it was only going to be a battle between him and Lewis with the only unknown being fuel loads. I kept a close eye on things with the mouse hovering over the submit button, ready to hedge should the odds drift. I always set up very short lay’s of drivers I’ve backed in case of a last second switch in positions (it’s happened a couple of time this season) This is the result –

With this mornings win on P3, the qualy win and the back bet @ 15.5 on Heikki to win the race I’m in a good position for the race.
I did loose a little on lays for Heidfeld and Vettel in the ‘to reach q3’ market, but a back of Piquet put me back in profit.
I don’t think any predictions on tomorrow’s race would be wise until the weather is known.
In my post earlier today I mentioned I was trading Heikki’s odds and in the end decided to leave a small back bet open @ 13.5. He was showing great pace all through qualy and I was still tempted to back him at the mid 4’s on offer before Q3. At this stage it was only going to be a battle between him and Lewis with the only unknown being fuel loads. I kept a close eye on things with the mouse hovering over the submit button, ready to hedge should the odds drift. I always set up very short lay’s of drivers I’ve backed in case of a last second switch in positions (it’s happened a couple of time this season) This is the result –

With this mornings win on P3, the qualy win and the back bet @ 15.5 on Heikki to win the race I’m in a good position for the race.
I did loose a little on lays for Heidfeld and Vettel in the ‘to reach q3’ market, but a back of Piquet put me back in profit.
I don’t think any predictions on tomorrow’s race would be wise until the weather is known.

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