A good start to the day as Alonso topped P3 to get me off to a winning start. Bet365 drastically cut their odds on ‘to top p3’ but I still managed to find value. I cut down on the amount of runners I selected and just backed Alonso, Webber, Kubica and Rosberg. Alonso and Webber came in 1st and 2nd so a good bet in the end.

Ferrari look off the pace but I can’t help thinking they are hiding something. I have exited all of my previous positions as it looks like I was wrong – firstly I’m no longer convinced Lewis will get pole on pure pace and Massa looks to be the quicker of the two Ferrari’s. Luckily I held out for good odds when I entered the market and have been able to make a small green from them.

What’s strange is Heikki’s odds. Very rarely do you see so much volatility in F1 odds – they tend to gradually go down or up, but Heikki has been constantly trading between 10 and 14 on the pole market. I’ve been using small stakes and trading these prices to get a small free bet on him. I’m considering just entering the market and leaving the bet to run in-play with this one as Heikki has looked quicker the Lewis all weekend, but will McLaren give him more fuel than Lewis to allow the britt a better chance at pole? Maybe that’s why there’s so much variation because although he’s quicker he could still end up behind Lewis on the grid. A heavier fuel load would mean a good race strategy for him so I have now backed Heikki to win the race. Watch out for Alonso putting in a good qualy performance too, maybe not pole but 3rd row at least.

The set-ups could also play a key part in this qualy session. Do you go for wet or dry set-up? Get a good grid slot and struggle in the race or settle for the a (hopefully) good race.