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During P3 it looked like Kimi was off the pace so I made a small green on the Lewis Pole/Kimi Winner market before qualy instead of letting it run which looks to have been a good move.
It’s a bit strange that we didn’t see the usual midfield runners top P3. Either the softer compounds didn’t give them much advantage at the time or McLaren are running light – either way I made a small loss here.
I mentioned in an earlier post I wanted to back Massa if things stayed dry. They did and his odds were a nice juicy 4.4. During Q2 I layed off the stake. Unfortunately I thought he’d bagged pole so didn’t green-up and was surprised to see Hamilton take it at the last second. He never set a purple sector on his qualy lap which is probably why I didn’t notice it – at least I didn’t loose anything though.
The Heidfeld bet came in and a Lay of Rosberg @ 1.6 to reach Q3 also came in to end the day in profit.
I had also taken a small back on Massa for race win at 5.2 which I have now traded for another free bet.
Looking ahead to today’s race and the weather is looking like it will stay dry meaning we have a good old pit strategy battle on our hands. The first problem for 10 of the cars will be getting off the line reasonably well and try to hold their positions. Past races have shown those starting on the clean side do have an advantage going into the first corner which will worry Massa. I’ve placed some bets for driver positions at the end of lap 1 - Heikki better than 3rd @ 2.75 and Kimi worse than 5th @ 2.10 (seeing as he’s starting 6th on the dirty side he has to make a position for this bet to loose).
With Massa starting on the dirty side I don’t want any liability so I will leave it as a free bet and see what happens. I have a feeling he may have slightly more fuel than the McLarens. Even if it’s 1 lap more it should be enough for him to win the race if he can keep within touching distance. The advantage being he can see how much fuel the McLarens put in and then adjust his accordingly if he stops later. That’s IF he is heavier.
Kimi’s fastest lap record looks under threat this weekend as he’s really not been on the pace at all. The track may come to him but for the moment I have a Lay @ 2.72 on him for fastest lap. If he starts to pick up I should be able to trade out for little loss.
If Trulli can hold his place off the line he should be in for a good race. Renault seem to be happy with Alonso’s fuel loads so he also could be one to watch for a podium. Vettel starting 9th on the clean side may be in with a chance of some points and @ 2.44 could be worth a shout.
It’s a bit strange that we didn’t see the usual midfield runners top P3. Either the softer compounds didn’t give them much advantage at the time or McLaren are running light – either way I made a small loss here.
I mentioned in an earlier post I wanted to back Massa if things stayed dry. They did and his odds were a nice juicy 4.4. During Q2 I layed off the stake. Unfortunately I thought he’d bagged pole so didn’t green-up and was surprised to see Hamilton take it at the last second. He never set a purple sector on his qualy lap which is probably why I didn’t notice it – at least I didn’t loose anything though.
The Heidfeld bet came in and a Lay of Rosberg @ 1.6 to reach Q3 also came in to end the day in profit.
I had also taken a small back on Massa for race win at 5.2 which I have now traded for another free bet.
Looking ahead to today’s race and the weather is looking like it will stay dry meaning we have a good old pit strategy battle on our hands. The first problem for 10 of the cars will be getting off the line reasonably well and try to hold their positions. Past races have shown those starting on the clean side do have an advantage going into the first corner which will worry Massa. I’ve placed some bets for driver positions at the end of lap 1 - Heikki better than 3rd @ 2.75 and Kimi worse than 5th @ 2.10 (seeing as he’s starting 6th on the dirty side he has to make a position for this bet to loose).
With Massa starting on the dirty side I don’t want any liability so I will leave it as a free bet and see what happens. I have a feeling he may have slightly more fuel than the McLarens. Even if it’s 1 lap more it should be enough for him to win the race if he can keep within touching distance. The advantage being he can see how much fuel the McLarens put in and then adjust his accordingly if he stops later. That’s IF he is heavier.
Kimi’s fastest lap record looks under threat this weekend as he’s really not been on the pace at all. The track may come to him but for the moment I have a Lay @ 2.72 on him for fastest lap. If he starts to pick up I should be able to trade out for little loss.
If Trulli can hold his place off the line he should be in for a good race. Renault seem to be happy with Alonso’s fuel loads so he also could be one to watch for a podium. Vettel starting 9th on the clean side may be in with a chance of some points and @ 2.44 could be worth a shout.
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