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Annoying

I was hoping for a nice clean fight this weekend with no penalties etc, but it looks like the weather may play a part once again. A 60% chance of rain on raceday and possible rain in qualy means this may turn into a lottery – in which case in-play betting is the way to go.

I will have to cut my stakes down and play on the basis it won’t rain, leaving a pot behind in case it does. I normally like rain to spice things up and provide some volatility in the odds – you can make some great trade in the right places. Last race I backed Rubens at 1000 when he pitted first of everyone for wet tyres. Unfortunately the rain didn’t continue but I still managed to green up that bet for £5 - if it had continued to rain the green up would have been much much more.

This time around though I would prefer no rain. It’s been a while since we’ve been able to compare the top teams in a ‘fair’ fight (no penalties or no rain) and it would have been interesting to see what progress had been made in testing.

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I have managed to make consistent profits through a mix of traditional betting, trading on the exchanges and somewhat of an obsession for Formula One over the last 3 seasons. Will it continue in 2008 or have I just been lucky! Follow my blog as I look at the possibilities in each race and try to pick out the value bets. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions (mail@flutterfly.co.uk).






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