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Marbles

My betting bot software subscription has just run out so I’m having a look around to see if anything better is about (but slowly running out of time before the race start!). A frustrating feature of the software I use is what probably caused me not to get matched and even up my book yesterday. The liquidity didn’t help but the bot was also partly to blame – the problem is it’s so cheap and really easy to use compared to some of the others.

Anyway, on today’s race I’ve taken a lay of Hamilton. I’ve said before I don’t like odds on favourites and 1.64 was a far to short considering he has to avoid the wall of champions on every lap, time his stops perfectly to avoid safety car issues and battle with a track that’s falling apart.

Today’s favourite word will be ‘Marbles’. The marbles at turn 10 will no doubt claim a few victims and this should be an interesting race.

Other than the lay of Lewis I’m not going to do much before the race – there should be (hopefully) plenty of changes which will make for good trading. Now I just need to find some software to allow me to trade it.

An interesting statistic I’ve heard, but not yet looked into, is that since the start of 2006 the driver starting 2nd has never been leading at the end of the first lap. That’s on any track not just Canada.

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I have managed to make consistent profits through a mix of traditional betting, trading on the exchanges and somewhat of an obsession for Formula One over the last 3 seasons. Will it continue in 2008 or have I just been lucky! Follow my blog as I look at the possibilities in each race and try to pick out the value bets. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions (mail@flutterfly.co.uk).





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