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There’s talk of a drivers strike in France (would happen at Silverstone), but this made me laugh. When we stayed in Nice for the Monaco weekend the train drivers were on strike, the fishermen were on strike and then the lorry drivers. Now while in France the F1 drivers are talking of a strike! I can’t see it every going ahead but it could make for some interesting betting if one driver decided he didn’t want to strike and raced to victory.
Anyway, I’ve been doing dome serious head scratching over the coming qualifying session in France. My original thinking was a 3 stopper or light fuel is not going to do Lewis any favours and would not be as good as fuelling up and going for some solid points. Martin Whitmarsh’s first instinct after Canada was the high fuel load would be the obvious choice but since then Lewis has been making comments which would suggest the opposite.
I suppose it all depends on how quick you think you will be. I suspect McLaren as yet haven’t made a final choice and will use the data from Friday with the computer models they’ve no doubt been using to go one way or another – Light or heavy.
But I may have missed something quite critical in my thinking. Light doesn’t have to mean short first stint or 3 stops…..it could mean 4. A 3 stopper is not uncommon in France. In fact last year was the only time in recent years the pole sitter did not use a 3 stop strategy. Also a 4 stop has been used before my Schumacher when he used a short middle stint to jump Alonso in the pits.
Going for a 3 stopper may not get Lewis pole position. He may not even get on the front row if others decide a 3 stop is the way to go. I would expect at least one Ferrari and maybe a BMW to start on a fuel load that could be turned from a 3 stop to long stint 2 stop depending on how the race unfolds. In other words he would need a very light fuel load to ensure he would get pole if this is the strategy he wants to use. Maybe a 4 stop load that could be changed to a long stint 3 stop?
I still don’t think going light is the way to go but at the same time I don’t want to miss a chance for a trade. When I wrote my last post Lewis was trading under 4 but this has slowly drifted. I wouldn’t be surprised if the odds act somewhat irrationally as we enter the qualy session – we’ve seen it once already this season – and that was without a grid penalty. So I will hold and wait to see if I can get some nice juicy big odds on him which would fit in with my book.
Heikki also drifted a bit and I stick by my opinion he’s a great bet. Ferrari will be quickest but this is the time for Heikki to show what he’s got. I know Hamilton has shown some great performances in the past but has he really got a better chance of winning this race than his team mate as the odds would suggest.
Anyway, I’ve been doing dome serious head scratching over the coming qualifying session in France. My original thinking was a 3 stopper or light fuel is not going to do Lewis any favours and would not be as good as fuelling up and going for some solid points. Martin Whitmarsh’s first instinct after Canada was the high fuel load would be the obvious choice but since then Lewis has been making comments which would suggest the opposite.
I suppose it all depends on how quick you think you will be. I suspect McLaren as yet haven’t made a final choice and will use the data from Friday with the computer models they’ve no doubt been using to go one way or another – Light or heavy.
But I may have missed something quite critical in my thinking. Light doesn’t have to mean short first stint or 3 stops…..it could mean 4. A 3 stopper is not uncommon in France. In fact last year was the only time in recent years the pole sitter did not use a 3 stop strategy. Also a 4 stop has been used before my Schumacher when he used a short middle stint to jump Alonso in the pits.
Going for a 3 stopper may not get Lewis pole position. He may not even get on the front row if others decide a 3 stop is the way to go. I would expect at least one Ferrari and maybe a BMW to start on a fuel load that could be turned from a 3 stop to long stint 2 stop depending on how the race unfolds. In other words he would need a very light fuel load to ensure he would get pole if this is the strategy he wants to use. Maybe a 4 stop load that could be changed to a long stint 3 stop?
I still don’t think going light is the way to go but at the same time I don’t want to miss a chance for a trade. When I wrote my last post Lewis was trading under 4 but this has slowly drifted. I wouldn’t be surprised if the odds act somewhat irrationally as we enter the qualy session – we’ve seen it once already this season – and that was without a grid penalty. So I will hold and wait to see if I can get some nice juicy big odds on him which would fit in with my book.
Heikki also drifted a bit and I stick by my opinion he’s a great bet. Ferrari will be quickest but this is the time for Heikki to show what he’s got. I know Hamilton has shown some great performances in the past but has he really got a better chance of winning this race than his team mate as the odds would suggest.
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