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BMW pay day?

Looking ahead to Canada and some of the talk is about if this could be the first race win for BMW. First of all the weather forecasts for the weekend are similar to Monaco which could lead to an unpredictable weekend (and safety cars), but lets assume we were going into the weekend with fine weather.

Lewis is slight favourite this weekend according the odds, mainly because he won last year but also because the super soft tyres and this circuit seem to suit the McLarens. There’s a difference though between Monaco and Montreal which may harm Mclaren. If you can’t get good enough grip out of the corner your top speeds going to be effected which is not a problem in Monaco, but with the long straights of Canada you will notice it. Lewis in particular has complained about not having enough grip coming out of a corner so we will have to wait and see if the super soft tyres are any better at getting them that grip.

The super soft tyre has received complaints from Ferrari who cannot get them up to temperature as quickly as they’d like. The cooler conditions in Monaco probably didn’t help them but they still managed pole and although rain is predicted, the temperatures are still expected to be in the high 20’s.

These two factors may even up the playing field and make for an interesting battle. BMW as far as I know do struggle with getting heat into their tyres but not at the same noticeable degree as Ferrari. They also seem to have half decent grip and the BMW engine is no slug when it comes to top speeds. If they can get the right strategy I see no reason why they cannot challenge for the win – getting it will depend on the weather.

Kubica or Heidfeld? Kubica is the obvious choice on current form but Nick is in need of a boost and light fuel to get a good grid slot may be something he looks at. He’s getting caught up in the middle of the pack which is finishing his races before they’ve started. With the odds as they are there’s no harm in backing both as even a small stake on Nick could prove worthwhile. Kubica is the man you would expect out of the two and is also handy in the wet if it does rain.

I would expect a Ferrari on pole but the odds on BMW are too good to miss, especially when I feel the pecking order may be 1.Ferrari – 2.BMW – 3.McLaren.

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