A month ago, if you had asked me who to back at Turkey, I would have said Massa without a doubt. Now the time has come and I’m not so sure. Massa is great at this track but there are other things to consider now. His team mate Kimi is in the grove and looks unstoppable at the moment – he was just behind Massa last year at Turkey and now he’s found the cars sweet spot could find himself just ahead. I think McLaren were taken buy surprise in Spain buy some of the lowish fuel runs and ended up further down the grid than they expected – can they really afford to be caught out again? Kubica is on form during qualifying and what’s to stop Renault doing another lower fuel attempt?

If Massa does get pole he will be odds on for the race. Therefore I think this race the qualy/race winner market probably offers better value than the qualy winner market.

Kovy has recovered from his shunt and comes to a track were he was ‘best of the rest’ in the Renault last year. So far his season has been a case of playing it safe but at some point he needs to stand up and be counted. It’s fair to say he won’t be winning the WDC this year so at some point he will become a nuisance to Ferrari if McLaren choose to use him the right way.

Without any real predictions possible I will again play it be ear during the race weekend. I hope someone other than a Ferrari gets pole simply from the point of view it will make the race more exiting and give better opportunities to trade.

It’s sad to see Super Aguri leave this week and Davidson must be gutted. Hopefully he can find a drive somewhere else and Sato too. Sato has a bad reputation for his recklessness but he’s a quick driver and provided some good entertainment in his F1 time.

Thanks for the e-mails about my last post, I am still making a decision but have an idea in mind now which I will look into later.