I’ve been looking through the stats etc this morning and noticed a few things. Firstly I think Heikki has slightly more fuel (1 or 2 laps) more than Lewis which is why Hamilton was so annoyed by making the wrong tyre choice. Heikki is 2.2 to beat Lewis on Betfair (the market also turns in-play) so I’m going to back Heikki on this one. He has managed to out qualify Lewis before with more fuel on board and as long as he can keep it on track he should stay ahead of him as he’s looked slightly stronger all weekend.

The other thing is this first corner has seen some pile ups and collisions on the first lap. I think it’s probably worth laying some of the midfield runners on ‘will they finish’, who may get caught up in this kind of accident. Especially those running older engines and gearbox’s who may not make it to the end even if they do escape such mayhem.

The race handicap bet doesn’t appeal to me today. The last races have seen a big gap between runners and there’s nobody who stands out as a great buy. I have instead backed Trulli in a best of the rest market (which does not include BMW) at 7.00. Betfair have scrapped their ‘Winner w/o big 4’ market because including BMW doesn’t make it worth while. Hopefully they will realise a best of the rest market with selected runners is far better. Seeing as Trulli is on engine 2 and gearbox 4 and starting middle-ish of the pack I included him in the not to finish selections just to cover liability.