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No Prize Turkey

Did I make the right or wrong choice? I knew Massa was most likely to get pole and race win and earlier in the week I was looking to get a good value bet on this but there was just nothing about. I could have just accepted what was on offer but instead I choose not to and go for Heikki exceeding everyone expectations.

As it turned out Massa did get pole and race win so in hindsight maybe I should have backed him – but if the odds aren’t good enough then I will stick by my beliefs of not putting money on the table. Heikki could have (and Mclaren think he would have) won the race if it was not for the poor start he had. My day was over from the first lap and became a mission to just recover losses instead of make profits.

It was a good race to trade as Massa and Lewis both took turns at being favourite to win meaning I did manage to get back to break-even point. I could have continued trading but decided to just leave it at that - my confidence would have took a battering if I’d have then made a loosing trade to put me back in the red.

Disappointing again as my belief in Heikki could have paid off on another day. The alarm bells should have rang earlier in the day however. Other than seeing a dog get run over the GP2 race also showed the car in 2nd was very slow off the grid – don’t know if this was coincidence or because the grid slot was dirty but I should have taken note.

I don’t know what happened with Trulli, he had a poor race. The gamble on a first corner shunt paid of on Nakajima but reliability was generally good and most of the selections made it to the end.

Never mind hey! A break even weekend means its 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses for the season. May not sound spectacular but if you consider each win is roughly 4 times more than the two losses I’m still in a good position.

No trading for the next race for me………that’s because I’m going to Monaco!!!

I will probably have a few outright bets before I go so will post them some time this week.

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About this site

I have managed to make consistent profits through a mix of traditional betting, trading on the exchanges and somewhat of an obsession for Formula One over the last 3 seasons. Will it continue in 2008 or have I just been lucky! Follow my blog as I look at the possibilities in each race and try to pick out the value bets. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions (mail@flutterfly.co.uk).





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