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Spain: Friday Update

Well nothing much to go by on today’s evidence. Different set-up programmes caused a funny looking P2 table with some drivers not where you would expect them to be. The top 12 cars are covered by 1 second so Lewis’ 11th for example is not as bad as it would be at other tracks. There’s no doubt Ferrari had the upper hand today but this track changes (in terms of set-up and ‘green-ness’ etc) over the weekend and a car which was quick today can be slow the tomorrow.

I have resisted temptation so far and kept my money in my pocket. If the Ferrari’s are quick its tough to call which one will get pole, let alone take into consideration possible low fuel attempts from BMW and even maybe McLaren. Lewis’ odds have drifted to 9 which is almost interesting me so I will keep an eye on him in P3 – if the track comes to him tomorrow morning those odds could shorten to about 4-5 ....but that’s a big IF which is why I haven’t taken a position yet.

I have done a small outright on some midfield runners to top P3. If the top 3 teams continue to test 15-20 lap fuel qualy runs and with the grid covered by a few seconds, anyone trying a 3 lap qualy run could find themselves at the top of the timesheet.

Update: I had a £25 free bet with an online bookie which I have just placed on Heidfeld to qualify higher than Kubica @ 2.5.

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I have managed to make consistent profits through a mix of traditional betting, trading on the exchanges and somewhat of an obsession for Formula One over the last 3 seasons. Will it continue in 2008 or have I just been lucky! Follow my blog as I look at the possibilities in each race and try to pick out the value bets. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions (mail@flutterfly.co.uk).





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