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Massa bet comes good

A good start to the weekend with the outright bet on Massa topping P1 coming in. He also set the 2nd fastest time in P2 so it’s currently looking good for my trade on pole position. The only problem is the odds haven’t yet come down as much as I expected. At 5.60 I feel it still offers value so don’t really want to trade out at this point.

This does cause an issue as I think Hamilton may be slightly quicker on one lap pace and if he tops P3, Massa’s odds could start to drift out again. Having some money in the bank already helps because I could afford to let the bet run and accept a small loss if he doesn’t nail it. I may have to trade the bet in-play but if it rains then all hell will break loose and who knows what will happen. Decisions, decisions……

Massa’s P2 time was at the end of a 9 lap stint whereas Lewis’ time was at the start of a 5 lap stint on softer tyres. Kimi set his best time in a 14 lap stint so it looks like the Ferrari everyone expected to turn up at Australia has arrived. But then Ferrari also looked good last Friday so this could all change tomorrow.

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I have managed to make consistent profits through a mix of traditional betting, trading on the exchanges and somewhat of an obsession for Formula One over the last 3 seasons. Will it continue in 2008 or have I just been lucky! Follow my blog as I look at the possibilities in each race and try to pick out the value bets. Feel free to comment on any posts (negative or positive!) or contact me by e-mail if you have any questions (mail@flutterfly.co.uk).





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